Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000034
2025-01-05 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047
2025-01-12 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059
2025-01-19 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000047 0.000073
2025-01-26 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000052 0.000089
2025-02-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000059 0.000110
2025-02-09 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000064 0.000132
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000039 0.000072 0.000163
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000042 0.000082 0.000207
2025-03-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000092 0.000261
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000045 0.000100 0.000314
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000107 0.000376
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000048 0.000119 0.000477
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000050 0.000132 0.000613
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000140 0.000746
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000023 0.000052 0.000151 0.000931
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000053 0.000164 0.001201
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000056 0.000184 0.001683
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000057 0.000200 0.002247
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000060 0.000224 0.003343
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000063 0.000260 0.005742
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000067 0.000298 0.010296
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000068 0.000325 0.017033